Kick-off · மார். 20, சனி, 08:30 PM ISTMatchday 30
Manchester City vs Manchester United: Prediction
Manchester City62%Home win
Manchester United62% Home win21% Draw17% Away win
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score2-0
Expected goals (model)2.02 – 0.97
Team rating (Elo)1531 – 1491
Recent form
Manchester CityWLWWLManchester UnitedDLDLL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City | 8 | +11 | 21 |
| 2 | Manchester United | 8 | -3 | 7 |
Head to head
- Manchester United 0–1 Manchester City2026-09-13
- Manchester United 2–0 Manchester City2026-01-17
- Manchester City 3–0 Manchester United2025-09-14
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
