Kick-off · ஜன. 13, புத., 01:00 AM ISTMatchday 16
Mainz vs Hoffenheim: Prediction
Mainz47%Home win
Hoffenheim47% Home win23% Draw30% Away win
Tipster consensus · who picked what
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.77 – 1.36
Team rating (Elo)1514 – 1515
Recent form
MainzWWLWLHoffenheimLLLWW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mainz | 6 | +5 | 10 |
| 2 | Hoffenheim | 6 | -1 | 6 |
Head to head
- Hoffenheim 1–2 Mainz2026-04-04
- Mainz 1–1 Hoffenheim2025-11-21
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
