Kick-off · மே 30, ஞாயி., 08:30 PM ISTMatchday 38
Liverpool vs Bournemouth: Prediction
Liverpool50%Home win
Bournemouth50% Home win24% Draw26% Away win
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.69 – 1.16
Team rating (Elo)1553 – 1531
Recent form
LiverpoolDWLWWBournemouthDLLWW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liverpool | 8 | +3 | 15 |
| 2 | Bournemouth | 8 | -1 | 9 |
Head to head
- Bournemouth 0–1 Liverpool2026-09-20
- Bournemouth 3–2 Liverpool2026-01-24
- Liverpool 4–2 Bournemouth2025-08-15
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
