FTMatchday 5
Hoffenheim vs Hamburg: Prediction
Hoffenheim2–3
HamburgNot enough past results yet.
Tipster consensus · who picked what
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1515 – 1468
Recent form
HoffenheimWLLLLHamburgWDLLW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hamburg | 6 | -5 | 9 |
| 2 | Hoffenheim | 6 | -1 | 6 |
Head to head
- Hamburg 1–2 Hoffenheim2026-04-25
- Hoffenheim 4–1 Hamburg2025-12-13
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
