Kick-off · ஜன. 31, ஞாயி., 11:00 PM ISTMatchday 22
Genoa vs Lecce: Prediction
Genoa49%Home win
Lecce49% Home win25% Draw26% Away win
Tipster consensus · who picked what
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.61 – 1.13
Team rating (Elo)1461 – 1442
Recent form
GenoaLWLWWLecceLLWLL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Genoa | 8 | -4 | 10 |
| 2 | Lecce | 8 | -5 | 9 |
Head to head
- Lecce 1–0 Genoa2026-05-24
- Genoa 0–0 Lecce2025-08-23
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
