Kick-off · மே 23, ஞாயி., 07:30 PM ISTMatchday 37
Everton vs Arsenal: Prediction
Everton53%Away win
Arsenal24% Home win23% Draw53% Away win
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.11 – 1.77
Team rating (Elo)1480 – 1644
Recent form
EvertonDWDLLArsenalWLWWW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 8 | +8 | 21 |
| 2 | Everton | 8 | -1 | 10 |
Head to head
- Arsenal 2–0 Everton2026-10-24
- Arsenal 2–0 Everton2026-03-14
- Everton 0–1 Arsenal2025-12-20
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
