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Kick-off · ஜன. 16, சனி, 08:30 PM ISTMatchday 21

Chelsea vs Sunderland: Prediction

Chelsea
54%Home win
Sunderland

Tipster consensus · who picked what

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.80 – 1.09
Team rating (Elo)1504 – 1451

Recent form

ChelseaDLWWL
SunderlandLLLLD
#TeamPGDPts
1Chelsea8+213
2Sunderland8-85

Head to head

  • Sunderland 2–1 Chelsea2026-05-24
  • Chelsea 1–2 Sunderland2025-10-25

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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