Kick-off · ஏப். 24, சனி, 07:30 PM ISTMatchday 33
Chelsea vs Manchester City: Prediction
Chelsea49%Away win
Manchester City27% Home win24% Draw49% Away win
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.17 – 1.68
Team rating (Elo)1504 – 1645
Recent form
ChelseaDLWWLManchester CityWWWWL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City | 8 | +11 | 21 |
| 2 | Chelsea | 8 | +2 | 13 |
Head to head
- Chelsea 0–3 Manchester City2026-04-12
- Manchester City 1–1 Chelsea2026-01-04
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
