Kick-off · மே 15, சனி, 07:30 PM ISTMatchday 36
Chelsea vs Everton: Prediction
Chelsea50%Home win
Everton50% Home win24% Draw26% Away win
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.69 – 1.16
Team rating (Elo)1502 – 1480
Recent form
ChelseaDLWWLEvertonDWDLL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chelsea | 8 | +2 | 13 |
| 2 | Everton | 8 | -1 | 10 |
Head to head
- Everton 0–2 Chelsea2026-10-17
- Everton 3–0 Chelsea2026-03-21
- Chelsea 2–0 Everton2025-12-13
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
