Kick-off · பிப். 20, சனி, 08:30 PM ISTMatchday 26
Bournemouth vs Crystal Palace: Prediction
Bournemouth60%Home win
Crystal Palace60% Home win21% Draw19% Away win
Most likely score1-0
Expected goals (model)1.97 – 0.99
Team rating (Elo)1534 – 1435
Recent form
BournemouthDLLWWCrystal PalaceLDWLL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bournemouth | 8 | -1 | 9 |
| 2 | Crystal Palace | 8 | -10 | 7 |
Head to head
- Bournemouth 3–0 Crystal Palace2026-05-03
- Crystal Palace 3–3 Bournemouth2025-10-18
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
