Kick-off · ஜன. 9, சனி, 08:00 PM ISTMatchday 15
Borussia Dortmund vs Mainz: Prediction
Borussia Dortmund62%Home win
Mainz62% Home win20% Draw18% Away win
Tipster consensus · who picked what
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score2-1
Expected goals (model)2.20 – 1.09
Team rating (Elo)1529 – 1514
Recent form
Borussia DortmundDLDWWMainzWWLWL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Borussia Dortmund | 6 | +5 | 14 |
| 2 | Mainz | 6 | +5 | 10 |
Head to head
- Borussia Dortmund 4–0 Mainz2026-02-13
- Mainz 0–2 Borussia Dortmund2025-09-27
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
