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Kick-off · டிச. 13, ஞாயி., 09:30 PM ISTMatchday 16

Atlético Madrid vs Valencia: Prediction

Atlético Madrid
63%Home win
Valencia

Tipster consensus · who picked what

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score1-0
Expected goals (model)1.96 – 0.86
Team rating (Elo)1517 – 1455

Recent form

Atlético MadridWWWDW
ValenciaWLDDL
#TeamPGDPts
1Atlético Madrid9+1022
2Valencia9-96

Head to head

  • Valencia 0–2 Atlético Madrid2026-05-02
  • Atlético Madrid 2–1 Valencia2025-12-13

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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