Kick-off · மே 2, ஞாயி., 08:30 PM ISTMatchday 34
Atlético Madrid vs Deportivo Alavés: Prediction
Atlético Madrid61%Home win
Deportivo Alavés61% Home win22% Draw17% Away win
Tipster consensus · who picked what
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-0
Expected goals (model)1.91 – 0.88
Team rating (Elo)1517 – 1469
Recent form
Atlético MadridWWWDWDeportivo AlavésLDLLD| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atlético Madrid | 9 | +10 | 22 |
| 2 | Deportivo Alavés | 9 | 0 | 9 |
Head to head
- Deportivo Alavés 1–2 Atlético Madrid2026-10-10
- Atlético Madrid 1–0 Deportivo Alavés2026-01-18
- Deportivo Alavés 1–1 Atlético Madrid2025-08-30
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
