Kick-off · டிச. 6, ஞாயி., 09:30 PM ISTMatchday 15
Athletic Bilbao vs Real Madrid: Prediction
Athletic Bilbao51%Away win
Real Madrid24% Home win25% Draw51% Away win
Tipster consensus · who picked what
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.03 – 1.64
Team rating (Elo)1483 – 1557
Recent form
Athletic BilbaoDDDLWReal MadridWWWWW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Madrid | 9 | +12 | 21 |
| 2 | Athletic Bilbao | 8 | +5 | 12 |
Head to head
- Real Madrid 4–2 Athletic Bilbao2026-05-23
- Athletic Bilbao 0–3 Real Madrid2025-12-03
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
