Kick-off · ஜன. 31, ஞாயி., 11:00 PM ISTMatchday 22
Atalanta vs Fiorentina: Prediction
Atalanta53%Home win
Fiorentina53% Home win24% Draw23% Away win
Tipster consensus · who picked what
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.72 – 1.06
Team rating (Elo)1515 – 1464
Recent form
AtalantaLWLDDFiorentinaDLLLD| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atalanta | 8 | -2 | 8 |
| 2 | Fiorentina | 8 | -7 | 5 |
Head to head
- Fiorentina 2–2 Atalanta2026-10-29
- Fiorentina 1–1 Atalanta2026-05-22
- Atalanta 2–0 Fiorentina2025-11-30
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
