Kick-off · ஜன. 16, சனி, 08:30 PM ISTMatchday 21
Aston Villa vs Manchester United: Prediction
Aston Villa45%Home win
Manchester United45% Home win25% Draw30% Away win
Tipster consensus · who picked what
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.57 – 1.25
Team rating (Elo)1541 – 1502
Recent form
Aston VillaDWWWWManchester UnitedDLDLL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aston Villa | 8 | -3 | 11 |
| 2 | Manchester United | 8 | -3 | 7 |
Head to head
- Manchester United 3–1 Aston Villa2026-03-15
- Aston Villa 2–1 Manchester United2025-12-21
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
