FTMatchday 6
Aston Villa vs Brentford: Prediction
Aston Villa2–2
BrentfordNot enough past results yet.
Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1518 – 1521
Recent form
Aston VillaLLDLWBrentfordWDDDW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brentford | 8 | +5 | 11 |
| 2 | Aston Villa | 8 | -3 | 11 |
Head to head
- Aston Villa 0–1 Brentford2026-02-01
- Brentford 1–0 Aston Villa2025-08-23
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
