Kick-off · நவ. 29, ஞாயி., 10:00 PM ISTMatchday 12
Arsenal vs Manchester City: Prediction
Arsenal46%Home win
Manchester City46% Home win25% Draw29% Away win
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.60 – 1.22
Team rating (Elo)1644 – 1645
Recent form
ArsenalWLWWWManchester CityWWWWL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City | 8 | +11 | 21 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 8 | +8 | 21 |
Head to head
- Manchester City 2–1 Arsenal2026-04-19
- Arsenal 1–1 Manchester City2025-09-21
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
