Kick-off · டிச. 12, சனி, 08:30 PM ISTMatchday 15
Arsenal vs Bournemouth: Prediction
Arsenal61%Home win
Bournemouth61% Home win21% Draw18% Away win
Most likely score2-0
Expected goals (model)2.01 – 0.97
Team rating (Elo)1644 – 1534
Recent form
ArsenalWLWWWBournemouthDLLWW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 8 | +8 | 21 |
| 2 | Bournemouth | 8 | -1 | 9 |
Head to head
- Arsenal 1–2 Bournemouth2026-04-11
- Bournemouth 2–3 Arsenal2026-01-03
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
