Kick-off · ஏப். 18, ஞாயி., 10:00 PM ISTMatchday 32
AC Milan vs Napoli: Prediction
AC Milan41%Home win
Napoli41% Home win26% Draw33% Away win
Tipster consensus · who picked what
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.43 – 1.28
Team rating (Elo)1553 – 1480
Recent form
AC MilanWDWWLNapoliLLWDW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AC Milan | 8 | +5 | 15 |
| 2 | Napoli | 8 | +7 | 14 |
Head to head
- Napoli 1–0 AC Milan2026-04-06
- AC Milan 2–1 Napoli2025-09-28
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
