FTMatchday 5

Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Leeds United: Prediction

📍 Molineux Stadium

Wolverhampton Wanderers1

Leeds United3

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

4 goals

Wolverhampton WanderersLeeds United

Ladislav Krejčíassist Fer López8'
Fer Lópezyellow card12'
31'Dominic Calvert-Lewin
39'Anton Stach
41'Jayden Bogleyellow card
45'Noah Okaforassist Anton Stach
Fer Lópezon46'
Jean-Ricner Bellegardeon46'
Rodrigo Gomeson46'
70'Noah Okaforon
Totion72'
Yerson Mosqueraon72'
83'Sean Longstaffon
83'Jayden Bogleon
90'Brenden Aaronsonon
90'Dominic Calvert-Lewinon

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Wolverhampton WanderersLeeds United

56%Possession44%
2Expected goals (xG)0
16Shots6
6Shots on target4
4Corners0
11Fouls9
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
0Offsides2
1Saves5
507Passes416

Line-ups

Wolverhampton Wanderers

1Jose Sa
27Jean-Ricner Bellegarde
14Tolu Arokodare
12Emmanuel Agbadou
24Toti
21Rodrigo Gomes
8João Gomes
15Yerson Mosquera
37Ladislav Krejčí
38Jackson Tchatchoua
28Fer López

Leeds United

26Karl Darlow
9Dominic Calvert-Lewin
8Sean Longstaff
6Joe Rodon
4Ethan Ampadu
19Noah Okafor
3Gabriel Gudmundsson
5Pascal Struijk
2Jayden Bogle
11Brenden Aaronson
18Anton Stach

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1509 – 1502

Recent form

Wolverhampton WanderersLLWLL

Leeds UnitedWLDDL

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Leeds United	38	-7	47
2	Wolverhampton Wanderers	38	-41	20

Head to head

Leeds United 3–0 Wolverhampton Wanderers2026-04-18

Match preview

Wolverhampton Wanderers host Leeds United in the Premier League on 20 September 2025. Wolverhampton Wanderers sit 20th on 20 points and Leeds United are 14th on 47. Wolverhampton Wanderers have won 1 of their last 5 (LLWLL), while Leeds United have won 1 of 5 (WLDDL). In their last 1 meetings, Wolverhampton Wanderers won 0, Leeds United won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.