Wolfsburg vs St Pauli: Prediction
📍 Volkswagen Arena
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
3 goals- ⚽Christian Eriksenpenalty25'
- 40'⚽Eric Smithassist Adam Dźwigała
- 53'Lars Ritzkayellow card
- Moritz Jenzyellow card55'
- ⇄Lovro Majeron61'
- 68'⇄Lars Ritzkaon
- 68'⇄Ricky-Jade Joneson
- ⇄Saël Kumbedion73'
- ⇄Patrick Wimmeron73'
- ⇄Aaron Zehnteron83'
- ⇄Yannick Gerhardton83'
- 84'Adam Dźwigałayellow card
- ⚽Dzenan Pejcinovicassist Adam Daghim88'
- 90'⇄Mathias Pereira-Lageon
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 61%Possession39%
- 1.67Expected goals (xG)0.89
- 13Shots9
- 5Shots on target4
- 7Corners4
- 10Fouls9
- 1Yellow cards2
- 0Red cards0
- 4Offsides2
- 3Saves3
- 618Passes397
Line-ups
Wolfsburg
- 24Christian Eriksen
- 31Yannick Gerhardt
- 27Maximilian Arnold
- 1Kamil Grabara
- 39Patrick Wimmer
- 10Lovro Majer
- 15Moritz Jenz
- 26Saël Kumbedi
- 17Dzenan Pejcinovic
- 4Konstantinos Koulierakis
- 25Aaron Zehnter
St Pauli
- 28Mathias Pereira-Lage
- 5Hauke Wahl
- 25Adam Dźwigała
- 8Eric Smith
- 16Joel Fujita
- 6James Sands
- 22Nikola Vasilj
- 11Arkadiusz Pyrka
- 26Ricky-Jade Jones
- 21Lars Ritzka
- 3Karol Mets
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 32 | -22 | 29 | |
| 2 | 32 | -31 | 23 |
Head to head
- St Pauli 1–3 Wolfsburg2026-05-16
Match preview
Wolfsburg host St Pauli in the Bundesliga on 14 January 2026. Wolfsburg sit 15th on 29 points and St Pauli are 18th on 23. Wolfsburg have won 2 of their last 5 (DWWLL), while St Pauli have won 1 of 5 (LLDWD). In their last 1 meetings, Wolfsburg won 1, St Pauli won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

