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FTMatchday 17

Wolfsburg vs St Pauli: Prediction

📍 Volkswagen Arena

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

3 goals
WolfsburgSt Pauli
  1. Christian Eriksenpenalty25'
  2. 40'Eric Smithassist Adam Dźwigała
  3. 53'Lars Ritzkayellow card
  4. Moritz Jenzyellow card55'
  5. Lovro Majeron61'
  6. 68'Lars Ritzkaon
  7. 68'Ricky-Jade Joneson
  8. Saël Kumbedion73'
  9. Patrick Wimmeron73'
  10. Aaron Zehnteron83'
  11. Yannick Gerhardton83'
  12. 84'Adam Dźwigałayellow card
  13. Dzenan Pejcinovicassist Adam Daghim88'
  14. 90'Mathias Pereira-Lageon

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

WolfsburgSt Pauli
  • 61%Possession39%
  • 1.67Expected goals (xG)0.89
  • 13Shots9
  • 5Shots on target4
  • 7Corners4
  • 10Fouls9
  • 1Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0
  • 4Offsides2
  • 3Saves3
  • 618Passes397

Line-ups

Wolfsburg

  • 24Christian Eriksen
  • 31Yannick Gerhardt
  • 27Maximilian Arnold
  • 1Kamil Grabara
  • 39Patrick Wimmer
  • 10Lovro Majer
  • 15Moritz Jenz
  • 26Saël Kumbedi
  • 17Dzenan Pejcinovic
  • 4Konstantinos Koulierakis
  • 25Aaron Zehnter

St Pauli

  • 28Mathias Pereira-Lage
  • 5Hauke Wahl
  • 25Adam Dźwigała
  • 8Eric Smith
  • 16Joel Fujita
  • 6James Sands
  • 22Nikola Vasilj
  • 11Arkadiusz Pyrka
  • 26Ricky-Jade Jones
  • 21Lars Ritzka
  • 3Karol Mets

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1452 – 1409

Recent form

WolfsburgDWWLL
St PauliLLDWD
#TeamPGDPts
1Wolfsburg32-2229
2St Pauli32-3123

Head to head

  • St Pauli 1–3 Wolfsburg2026-05-16

Match preview

Wolfsburg host St Pauli in the Bundesliga on 14 January 2026. Wolfsburg sit 15th on 29 points and St Pauli are 18th on 23. Wolfsburg have won 2 of their last 5 (DWWLL), while St Pauli have won 1 of 5 (LLDWD). In their last 1 meetings, Wolfsburg won 1, St Pauli won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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