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FTMatchday 5

Wolfsburg vs RB Leipzig: Prediction

📍 Volkswagen Arena

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

2 goals
WolfsburgRB Leipzig
  1. 8'Johan Bakayokoassist Rômulo Cardoso da Cruz
  2. 24'Yan Diomandeyellow card
  3. 45'Willi Orbanyellow card
  4. Patrick Wimmeron46'
  5. Maximilian Arnoldyellow card58'
  6. 64'Assan Ouédraogoon
  7. Jonas Windon70'
  8. Mattias Svanbergon70'
  9. 79'Rômulo Cardoso da Cruzon
  10. 79'Yan Diomandeon
  11. Konstantinos Koulierakisyellow card90'
  12. 90'Christoph Baumgartnerpenalty
  13. Vinicius Souzaon90'
  14. Kilian Fischeron90'
  15. 90'Christoph Baumgartneron
  16. 90'Johan Bakayokoon

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

WolfsburgRB Leipzig
  • 51%Possession49%
  • 3.05Expected goals (xG)2.41
  • 22Shots20
  • 4Shots on target6
  • 6Corners11
  • 7Fouls9
  • 2Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0
  • 0Offsides5
  • 5Saves4
  • 447Passes435

Line-ups

Wolfsburg

  • 27Maximilian Arnold
  • 32Mattias Svanberg
  • 21Joakim Mæhle
  • 23Jonas Wind
  • 1Kamil Grabara
  • 39Patrick Wimmer
  • 15Moritz Jenz
  • 5Vinicius Souza
  • 2Kilian Fischer
  • 9Mohammed Amoura
  • 4Konstantinos Koulierakis

RB Leipzig

  • 1Peter Gulacsi
  • 4Willi Orban
  • 14Christoph Baumgartner
  • 17Ridle Baku
  • 22David Raum
  • 13Nicolas Seiwald
  • 23Castello Lukeba
  • 9Johan Bakayoko
  • 40Rômulo Cardoso da Cruz
  • 20Assan Ouédraogo
  • 49Yan Diomande

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1452 – 1472

Recent form

WolfsburgWDDL
RB LeipzigLWWW
#TeamPGDPts
1RB Leipzig32+2164
2Wolfsburg32-2229

Head to head

  • RB Leipzig 2–2 Wolfsburg2026-02-15

Match preview

Wolfsburg host RB Leipzig in the Bundesliga on 27 September 2025. Wolfsburg sit 15th on 29 points and RB Leipzig are 3rd on 64. Wolfsburg have won 1 of their last 4 (WDDL), while RB Leipzig have won 3 of 4 (LWWW). In their last 1 meetings, Wolfsburg won 0, RB Leipzig won 0 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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