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FTMatchday 2

Wolfsburg vs Mainz: Prediction

📍 Volkswagen Arena

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

2 goals
WolfsburgMainz
  1. Aaron Zehnterassist Lovro Majer9'
  2. 40'Danny da Costayellow card
  3. 42'Robin Zentneryellow card
  4. 46'Stefan Bellon
  5. Andreas Skov Olsenon46'
  6. 49'Andreas Hanche-Olsenyellow card
  7. Patrick Wimmeryellow card60'
  8. 69'Phillipp Mweneon
  9. 69'Nelson Weiperon
  10. Lovro Majeron70'
  11. Dzenan Pejcinovicon70'
  12. 82'Arnaud Nordinon
  13. 86'Anthony Caciyellow card
  14. 89'Nadiem Amiripenalty
  15. Aaron Zehnteron90'
  16. Vinicius Souzaon90'
  17. Mattias Svanbergyellow card90'
  18. 90'Armindo Siebyellow card
  19. Mattias Svanbergred card90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

WolfsburgMainz
  • 40%Possession60%
  • 1Expected goals (xG)2
  • 11Shots17
  • 3Shots on target3
  • 3Corners10
  • 15Fouls14
  • 3Yellow cards5
  • 1Red cards0
  • 0Offsides0
  • 2Saves2
  • 310Passes458

Line-ups

Wolfsburg

  • 27Maximilian Arnold
  • 7Andreas Skov Olsen
  • 1Kamil Grabara
  • 39Patrick Wimmer
  • 10Lovro Majer
  • 15Moritz Jenz
  • 5Vinicius Souza
  • 2Kilian Fischer
  • 17Dzenan Pejcinovic
  • 4Konstantinos Koulierakis
  • 25Aaron Zehnter

Mainz

  • 31Dominik Kohr
  • 16Stefan Bell
  • 27Robin Zentner
  • 21Danny da Costa
  • 10Nadiem Amiri
  • 2Phillipp Mwene
  • 9Arnaud Nordin
  • 19Anthony Caci
  • 7Jae-Sung Lee
  • 44Nelson Weiper
  • 6Kaishu Sano

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1452 – 1499

Recent form

WolfsburgW
MainzL
#TeamPGDPts
1Mainz32-839
2Wolfsburg32-2229

Head to head

  • Mainz 3–1 Wolfsburg2026-01-24

Match preview

Wolfsburg host Mainz in the Bundesliga on 31 August 2025. Wolfsburg sit 15th on 29 points and Mainz are 10th on 39. Wolfsburg have won 1 of their last 1 (W), while Mainz have won 0 of 1 (L). In their last 1 meetings, Wolfsburg won 0, Mainz won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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