FTMatchday 15

Wolfsburg vs Freiburg: Prediction

📍 Volkswagen Arena

Wolfsburg3

Freiburg4

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

7 goals

WolfsburgFreiburg

5'Philipp Treuassist Yuito Suzuki
Dzenan Pejcinovicassist Patrick Wimmer13'
46'Patrick Osterhageon
Dzenan Pejcinovic49'
56'Vincenzo Grifopenalty
67'Philipp Treuon
Lovro Majeron68'
Dzenan Pejcinovicassist Patrick Wimmer69'
71'Jenson Seeltown goal
78'Derry Scherhantassist Johan Manzambi
79'Johan Manzambion
79'Lucas Höleron
Christian Eriksenon80'
Patrick Wimmeron80'
Maximilian Arnoldyellow card82'
83'Anthony Jungyellow card
Saël Kumbedion88'
90'Yuito Suzukion

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

WolfsburgFreiburg

56%Possession44%
2Expected goals (xG)4
13Shots15
6Shots on target8
2Corners6
16Fouls8
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
1Offsides5
4Saves3
477Passes371

Line-ups

Wolfsburg

24Christian Eriksen
31Yannick Gerhardt
27Maximilian Arnold
1Kamil Grabara
39Patrick Wimmer
10Lovro Majer
26Saël Kumbedi
17Dzenan Pejcinovic
14Jenson Seelt
4Konstantinos Koulierakis
25Aaron Zehnter

Freiburg

28Matthias Ginter
30Christian Gunter
8Maximilian Eggestein
9Lucas Höler
17Lukas Kübler
5Anthony Jung
14Yuito Suzuki
6Patrick Osterhage
1Noah Atubolu
29Philipp Treu
44Johan Manzambi

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1452 – 1518

Recent form

WolfsburgLLDWW

FreiburgDLWLD

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Freiburg	32	-8	41
2	Wolfsburg	32	-22	29

Head to head

Freiburg 1–1 Wolfsburg2026-05-03

Match preview

Wolfsburg host Freiburg in the Bundesliga on 20 December 2025. Wolfsburg sit 15th on 29 points and Freiburg are 8th on 41. Wolfsburg have won 2 of their last 5 (LLDWW), while Freiburg have won 1 of 5 (DLWLD). In their last 1 meetings, Wolfsburg won 0, Freiburg won 0 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.