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FTMatchday 21

Wolfsburg vs Borussia Dortmund: Prediction

📍 Volkswagen Arena

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

3 goals
WolfsburgBorussia Dortmund
  1. Kilian Fischeron17'
  2. 38'Julian Brandtassist Julian Ryerson
  3. Adam Daghimyellow card47'
  4. 51'Nico Schlotterbeckyellow card
  5. Konstantinos Koulierakisassist Maximilian Arnold52'
  6. Kevin Paredeson64'
  7. Kento Shiogaion64'
  8. 69'Julian Ryersonon
  9. Adam Daghimon83'
  10. Mohammed Amouraon83'
  11. 87'Sehrou Guirassyassist Fábio Silva
  12. 88'Niklas Suleon
  13. 88'Felix Nmechaon
  14. 88'Julian Brandton
  15. 90'Maximilian Beieron

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

WolfsburgBorussia Dortmund
  • 35%Possession65%
  • 1.45Expected goals (xG)1.27
  • 12Shots21
  • 2Shots on target4
  • 4Corners8
  • 12Fouls10
  • 1Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards0
  • 0Offsides2
  • 2Saves1
  • 309Passes579

Line-ups

Wolfsburg

  • 24Christian Eriksen
  • 27Maximilian Arnold
  • 3Denis Vavro
  • 1Kamil Grabara
  • 40Kevin Paredes
  • 2Kilian Fischer
  • 6Jeanuël Belocian
  • 9Mohammed Amoura
  • 4Konstantinos Koulierakis
  • 7Kento Shiogai
  • 11Adam Daghim

Borussia Dortmund

  • 25Niklas Sule
  • 10Julian Brandt
  • 9Sehrou Guirassy
  • 4Nico Schlotterbeck
  • 26Julian Ryerson
  • 1Gregor Kobel
  • 3Waldemar Anton
  • 8Felix Nmecha
  • 24Daniel Svensson
  • 14Maximilian Beier
  • 7Jobe Bellingham

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1452 – 1538

Recent form

WolfsburgLWDLL
Borussia DortmundDWWWW
#TeamPGDPts
1Borussia Dortmund32+3671
2Wolfsburg32-2229

Head to head

  • Borussia Dortmund 1–0 Wolfsburg2025-09-21

Match preview

Wolfsburg host Borussia Dortmund in the Bundesliga on 7 February 2026. Wolfsburg sit 15th on 29 points and Borussia Dortmund are 2nd on 71. Wolfsburg have won 1 of their last 5 (LWDLL), while Borussia Dortmund have won 4 of 5 (DWWWW). In their last 1 meetings, Wolfsburg won 0, Borussia Dortmund won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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