FTMatchday 10

West Ham United vs Newcastle United: Prediction

📍 London Stadium

West Ham United3

Newcastle United1

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

4 goals

West Ham UnitedNewcastle United

4'Jacob Murphyassist Bruno Guimarães
30'Bruno Guimarãesyellow card
Lucas Paquetáassist Mateus Fernandes35'
Sven Botmanown goal45'
46'Emil Krafthon
46'Nick Woltemadeon
46'Anthony Gordonon
Callum Wilsonon61'
65'Sven Botmanon
77'Jacob Murphyon
Crysencio Summervilleon79'
Mateus Fernandeson85'
Lucas Paquetáyellow card90'
90'Jacob Ramseyyellow card
Tomáš Souček90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

West Ham UnitedNewcastle United

37%Possession63%
2Expected goals (xG)1
15Shots12
9Shots on target4
7Corners6
5Fouls10
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
4Offsides0
3Saves7
320Passes545

Line-ups

West Ham United

20Jarrod Bowen
23Alphonse Areola
9Callum Wilson
10Lucas Paquetá
25Jean-Clair Todibo
29Aaron Wan-Bissaka
3Max Kilman
7Crysencio Summerville
18Mateus Fernandes
32Freddie Potts
12El Hadji Malick Diouf

Newcastle United

23Jacob Murphy
33Dan Burn
1Nick Pope
7Joelinton
8Sandro Tonali
27Nick Woltemade
10Anthony Gordon
17Emil Krafth
4Sven Botman
39Bruno Guimarães
12Malick Thiaw

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1492 – 1529

Recent form

West Ham UnitedLDLLL

Newcastle UnitedWLWWW

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Newcastle United	38	-2	49
2	West Ham United	38	-19	39

Head to head

Newcastle United 3–1 West Ham United2026-05-17

Match preview

West Ham United host Newcastle United in the Premier League on 2 November 2025. West Ham United sit 18th on 39 points and Newcastle United are 12th on 49. West Ham United have won 0 of their last 5 (LDLLL), while Newcastle United have won 4 of 5 (WLWWW). In their last 1 meetings, West Ham United won 0, Newcastle United won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.