FTMatchday 8

Werder Bremen vs Union Berlin: Prediction

📍 wohninvest WESERSTADION

Werder Bremen1

Union Berlin0

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

1 goal

Werder BremenUnion Berlin

Abdoul Coulibalyyellow card23'
29'Andrej Ilićon
61'Derrick Köhnon
61'Aljoscha Kemleinon
Marco Grüllyellow card70'
Marco Grüllassist Yukinari Sugawara72'
79'Diogo Leiteon
79'Christopher Trimmelon
Victor Bonifaceon85'
Samuel Mbangulaon85'
Amos Pieperyellow card90'
Keke Toppyellow card90'
Marco Grüllon90'
Romano Schmidon90'
Yukinari Sugawaraon90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Werder BremenUnion Berlin

58%Possession42%
1Expected goals (xG)1
16Shots12
3Shots on target2
5Corners6
6Fouls13
4Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
0Offsides2
2Saves2
505Passes364

Line-ups

Werder Bremen

32Marco Friedl
3Yukinari Sugawara
5Amos Pieper
20Romano Schmid
17Marco Grüll
6Jens Stage
44Victor Boniface
14Senne Lynen
30Mio Backhaus
7Samuel Mbangula
31Abdoul Coulibaly

Union Berlin

7Oliver Burke
8Rani Khedira
4Diogo Leite
5Danilho Doekhi
1Frederik Rønnow
28Christopher Trimmel
39Derrick Köhn
14Leopold Querfeld
6Aljoscha Kemlein
10Ilyas Ansah
23Andrej Ilić

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1489 – 1455

Recent form

Werder BremenWLLWD

Union BerlinLWDLW

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Union Berlin	32	-15	35
2	Werder Bremen	32	-23	29

Head to head

Union Berlin 1–4 Werder Bremen2026-03-08

Match preview

Werder Bremen host Union Berlin in the Bundesliga on 24 October 2025. Werder Bremen sit 16th on 29 points and Union Berlin are 13th on 35. Werder Bremen have won 2 of their last 5 (WLLWD), while Union Berlin have won 2 of 5 (LWDLW). In their last 1 meetings, Werder Bremen won 1, Union Berlin won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.