Werder Bremen vs Stuttgart: Prediction
📍 Weserstadion
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
Werder BremenWDDWW
StuttgartLDLWL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Werder Bremen | 7 | +3 | 14 |
| 2 | Stuttgart | 7 | 0 | 9 |
Head to head
- Stuttgart 1–1 Werder Bremen2026-04-26
- Werder Bremen 0–4 Stuttgart2025-12-14
Why the model leans Stuttgart
- Close call: 36% Werder Bremen, 24% draw, 40% Stuttgart.
- Stuttgart rate higher on our strength scale (1517 vs 1489).
- Head-to-head in our records: Werder Bremen 0, Stuttgart 1, draws 1.
- League table: Werder Bremen #3, Stuttgart #9.
- Expected goals from the model: Werder Bremen 1.5, Stuttgart 1.6.
Match preview
Werder Bremen host Stuttgart in the Bundesliga on 13 March 2027. Werder Bremen sit 3rd on 14 points and Stuttgart are 9th on 9. Werder Bremen have won 3 of their last 5 (WDDWW), while Stuttgart have won 1 of 5 (LDLWL). In their last 2 meetings, Werder Bremen won 0, Stuttgart won 1 and 1 ended level. TipKhel's model gives Werder Bremen 36%, the draw 24% and Stuttgart 40%, so Stuttgart are the slight favourites, with 1-1 the single most likely score. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
