Werder Bremen vs St Pauli: Prediction
📍 wohninvest WESERSTADION
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
1 goal- ⚽Samuel Mbangula2'
- ⇄Felix Aguon45'
- ⇄Justin Njinmahon60'
- Cameron Puertasyellow card68'
- 71'⇄Arkadiusz Pyrkaon
- 71'⇄Lars Ritzkaon
- 71'⇄James Sandson
- Jens Stageyellow card72'
- ⇄Cameron Puertason81'
- ⇄Samuel Mbangulaon81'
- Marco Grüllyellow card90'
- 90'Manolis Saliakasyellow card
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 41%Possession59%
- 2Expected goals (xG)1
- 15Shots13
- 5Shots on target3
- 4Corners0
- 8Fouls9
- 3Yellow cards1
- 0Red cards0
- 3Offsides1
- 3Saves4
- 463Passes652
Line-ups
Werder Bremen
- 32Marco Friedl
- 3Yukinari Sugawara
- 20Romano Schmid
- 13Karl Hein
- 6Jens Stage
- 27Felix Agu
- 18Cameron Puertas
- 14Senne Lynen
- 11Justin Njinmah
- 7Samuel Mbangula
- 31Abdoul Coulibaly
St Pauli
- 28Mathias Pereira-Lage
- 5Hauke Wahl
- 8Eric Smith
- 16Joel Fujita
- 6James Sands
- 22Nikola Vasilj
- 10Danel Sinani
- 11Arkadiusz Pyrka
- 21Lars Ritzka
- 19Martijn Kaars
- 23Louis Oppie
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
Werder BremenLDWLL
St PauliDWWLL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Werder Bremen | 32 | -23 | 29 |
| 2 | St Pauli | 32 | -31 | 23 |
Head to head
Not enough past results yet.
Match preview
Werder Bremen host St Pauli in the Bundesliga on 4 October 2025. Werder Bremen sit 16th on 29 points and St Pauli are 18th on 23. Werder Bremen have won 1 of their last 5 (LDWLL), while St Pauli have won 2 of 5 (DWWLL). There is no recent head-to-head record between these sides in our data. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
