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Kick-off · Matchday 33

Werder Bremen vs Schalke 04: Prediction

📍 Weserstadion

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.91 – 1.26
Team rating (Elo)1489 – 1456

Recent form

Werder BremenWDDWW
Schalke 04DLLDL
#TeamPGDPts
1Werder Bremen7+314
2Schalke 047-73

Head to head

Not enough past results yet.

Why the model leans Werder Bremen

  • Werder Bremen rate higher on our strength scale (1489 vs 1456).
  • Werder Bremen are at home, which usually adds a few points of chance.
  • Werder Bremen won 3 of their last 5.
  • Schalke 04 won 0 of their last 5.
  • League table: Werder Bremen #3, Schalke 04 #18.

Match preview

Werder Bremen host Schalke 04 in the Bundesliga on 15 May 2027. Werder Bremen sit 3rd on 14 points and Schalke 04 are 18th on 3. Werder Bremen have won 3 of their last 5 (WDDWW), while Schalke 04 have won 0 of 5 (DLLDL). There is no recent head-to-head record between these sides in our data. TipKhel's model gives Werder Bremen 53%, the draw 22% and Schalke 04 25%, so Werder Bremen are the slight favourites, with 1-1 the single most likely score. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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