Werder Bremen vs Mainz: Prediction
📍 wohninvest WESERSTADION
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
2 goals- 6'⚽Paul Nebelassist Phillipp Mwene
- Leonardo Bittencourtyellow card38'
- ⇄Keke Toppon46'
- 52'⚽Jae-Sung Leeassist Sheraldo Becker
- ⇄Julián Malatinion55'
- 62'Jae-Sung Leeyellow card
- Jens Stageyellow card63'
- ⇄Yukinari Sugawaraon69'
- ⇄Leonardo Bittencourton69'
- 72'⇄Phillipp Mweneon
- 72'⇄Phillip Tietzon
- 81'⇄Silvan Widmeron
- ⇄Marco Grüllon85'
- 87'⇄Jae-Sung Leeon
- 87'⇄Sheraldo Beckeron
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 66%Possession34%
- 0.87Expected goals (xG)1.08
- 16Shots11
- 3Shots on target2
- 9Corners4
- 7Fouls7
- 2Yellow cards1
- 0Red cards0
- 2Offsides2
- 0Saves3
- 604Passes302
Line-ups
Werder Bremen
- 10Leonardo Bittencourt
- 32Marco Friedl
- 3Yukinari Sugawara
- 20Romano Schmid
- 17Marco Grüll
- 6Jens Stage
- 18Cameron Puertas
- 2Olivier Deman
- 22Julián Malatini
- 30Mio Backhaus
- 9Keke Topp
Mainz
- 31Dominik Kohr
- 21Danny da Costa
- 30Silvan Widmer
- 4Stefan Posch
- 2Phillipp Mwene
- 23Sheraldo Becker
- 7Jae-Sung Lee
- 8Paul Nebel
- 20Phillip Tietz
- 33Daniel Batz
- 6Kaishu Sano
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
Werder BremenDLLWW
MainzWWLDD| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mainz | 32 | -8 | 39 |
| 2 | Werder Bremen | 32 | -23 | 29 |
Head to head
- Mainz 2–3 Werder Bremen2026-10-24
- Mainz 1–1 Werder Bremen2025-11-01
Match preview
Werder Bremen host Mainz in the Bundesliga on 15 March 2026. Werder Bremen sit 16th on 29 points and Mainz are 10th on 39. Werder Bremen have won 2 of their last 5 (DLLWW), while Mainz have won 2 of 5 (WWLDD). In their last 2 meetings, Werder Bremen won 1, Mainz won 0 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
