Werder Bremen vs Köln: Prediction
📍 Weserstadion
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
Werder BremenWDDWW
KölnLWLDD| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Werder Bremen | 7 | +3 | 14 |
| 2 | Köln | 7 | -3 | 8 |
Head to head
- Köln 3–1 Werder Bremen2026-04-12
- Werder Bremen 1–1 Köln2025-11-29
Why the model leans Werder Bremen
- Werder Bremen rate higher on our strength scale (1489 vs 1442).
- Werder Bremen are at home, which usually adds a few points of chance.
- Werder Bremen won 3 of their last 5.
- Köln won 1 of their last 5.
- Head-to-head in our records: Werder Bremen 0, Köln 1, draws 1.
Match preview
Werder Bremen host Köln in the Bundesliga on 6 February 2027. Werder Bremen sit 3rd on 14 points and Köln are 13th on 8. Werder Bremen have won 3 of their last 5 (WDDWW), while Köln have won 1 of 5 (LWLDD). In their last 2 meetings, Werder Bremen won 0, Köln won 1 and 1 ended level. TipKhel's model gives Werder Bremen 55%, the draw 22% and Köln 23%, so Werder Bremen are the slight favourites, with 1-1 the single most likely score. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
