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FTMatchday 30

Werder Bremen vs Hamburg: Prediction

📍 wohninvest WESERSTADION

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

4 goals
Werder BremenHamburg
  1. Jens Stageassist Yukinari Sugawara37'
  2. 41'Robert Glatzelassist Nicolás Capaldo
  3. Olivier Demanyellow card45'
  4. 45'Ransford-Yeboah Königsdörfferyellow card
  5. Jens Stageassist Cameron Puertas57'
  6. 58'Miro Muheimyellow card
  7. Jovan Miloševićon61'
  8. 66'Albert Grønbækon
  9. Jens Stageon67'
  10. Yukinari Sugawarayellow card71'
  11. Leonardo Bittencourtyellow card73'
  12. 75'Miro Muheimon
  13. 75'Ransford-Yeboah Königsdörfferon
  14. 79'Philip Otelered card
  15. Marco Grüllyellow card82'
  16. 83'Nicolás Capaldoon
  17. 89'Bakery Jattayellow card
  18. Justin Njinmahon89'
  19. Cameron Puertasassist Romano Schmid90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Werder BremenHamburg
  • 57%Possession43%
  • 1.73Expected goals (xG)0.58
  • 18Shots11
  • 10Shots on target3
  • 7Corners3
  • 14Fouls14
  • 4Yellow cards3
  • 0Red cards1
  • 1Offsides1
  • 2Saves7
  • 447Passes341

Line-ups

Werder Bremen

  • 3Yukinari Sugawara
  • 5Amos Pieper
  • 20Romano Schmid
  • 6Jens Stage
  • 18Cameron Puertas
  • 14Senne Lynen
  • 2Olivier Deman
  • 11Justin Njinmah
  • 30Mio Backhaus
  • 31Abdoul Coulibaly
  • 19Jovan Milošević

Hamburg

  • 25Jordan Torunarigha
  • 23Albert Grønbæk
  • 9Robert Glatzel
  • 1Daniel Fernandes
  • 24Nicolás Capaldo
  • 20Fábio Vieira
  • 17Warmed Omari
  • 11Ransford-Yeboah Königsdörffer
  • 28Miro Muheim
  • 2William Mikelbrencis
  • 21Nicolai Remberg

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1489 – 1455

Recent form

Werder BremenWLWLL
HamburgWDLDL
#TeamPGDPts
1Hamburg32-1436
2Werder Bremen32-2329

Head to head

  • Hamburg 3–2 Werder Bremen2025-12-07

Match preview

Werder Bremen host Hamburg in the Bundesliga on 18 April 2026. Werder Bremen sit 16th on 29 points and Hamburg are 11th on 36. Werder Bremen have won 2 of their last 5 (WLWLL), while Hamburg have won 1 of 5 (WDLDL). In their last 1 meetings, Werder Bremen won 0, Hamburg won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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