Skip
EnglishEN ▾
FTMatchday 4

Werder Bremen vs Freiburg: Prediction

📍 wohninvest WESERSTADION

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

3 goals
Werder BremenFreiburg
  1. 33'Vincenzo Grifopenalty
  2. 35'Jan-Niklas Besteyellow card
  3. Cameron Puertasyellow card36'
  4. Jens Stageyellow card48'
  5. Marco Grüllyellow card49'
  6. 54'Junior Adamuassist Vincenzo Grifo
  7. Justin Njinmahon60'
  8. Jens Stageon60'
  9. 69'Vincenzo Grifoon
  10. 69'Jan-Niklas Besteon
  11. Felix Aguyellow card71'
  12. Romano Schmidon73'
  13. Yukinari Sugawaraon73'
  14. 75'Abdoul Coulibalyown goal
  15. Senne Lynenon77'
  16. 81'Lukas Kübleryellow card
  17. 84'Patrick Osterhageon
  18. 85'Junior Adamuon
  19. 90'Philipp Lienharton
  20. Victor Bonifaceyellow card90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Werder BremenFreiburg
  • 62%Possession38%
  • 1.22Expected goals (xG)2.42
  • 12Shots10
  • 5Shots on target5
  • 2Corners0
  • 13Fouls7
  • 5Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0
  • 1Offsides2
  • 3Saves5
  • 557Passes352

Line-ups

Werder Bremen

  • 32Marco Friedl
  • 3Yukinari Sugawara
  • 20Romano Schmid
  • 17Marco Grüll
  • 6Jens Stage
  • 27Felix Agu
  • 18Cameron Puertas
  • 14Senne Lynen
  • 11Justin Njinmah
  • 30Mio Backhaus
  • 31Abdoul Coulibaly

Freiburg

  • 28Matthias Ginter
  • 8Maximilian Eggestein
  • 3Philipp Lienhart
  • 9Lucas Höler
  • 17Lukas Kübler
  • 32Vincenzo Grifo
  • 19Jan-Niklas Beste
  • 20Junior Adamu
  • 6Patrick Osterhage
  • 1Noah Atubolu
  • 33Jordy Makengo Basambundu

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1489 – 1518

Recent form

Werder BremenLDW
FreiburgLLW
#TeamPGDPts
1Freiburg32-841
2Werder Bremen32-2329

Head to head

  • Freiburg 4–1 Werder Bremen2026-08-30
  • Freiburg 1–0 Werder Bremen2026-02-07

Match preview

Werder Bremen host Freiburg in the Bundesliga on 20 September 2025. Werder Bremen sit 16th on 29 points and Freiburg are 8th on 41. Werder Bremen have won 1 of their last 3 (LDW), while Freiburg have won 1 of 3 (LLW). In their last 2 meetings, Werder Bremen won 0, Freiburg won 2 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

Upcoming