Werder Bremen vs Bayern Munich: Prediction
📍 Weserstadion
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
Werder BremenWDDWW
Bayern MunichWDWDW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 7 | +18 | 15 |
| 2 | Werder Bremen | 7 | +3 | 14 |
Head to head
- Werder Bremen 0–3 Bayern Munich2026-02-14
- Bayern Munich 4–0 Werder Bremen2025-09-26
Why the model leans Bayern Munich
- Bayern Munich rate higher on our strength scale (1561 vs 1489).
- Bayern Munich won 3 of their last 5.
- Head-to-head in our records: Werder Bremen 0, Bayern Munich 2, draws 0.
- Expected goals from the model: Werder Bremen 1.1, Bayern Munich 2.1.
Match preview
Werder Bremen host Bayern Munich in the Bundesliga on 24 April 2027. Werder Bremen sit 3rd on 14 points and Bayern Munich are 1st on 15. Werder Bremen have won 3 of their last 5 (WDDWW), while Bayern Munich have won 3 of 5 (WDWDW). In their last 2 meetings, Werder Bremen won 0, Bayern Munich won 2 and 0 ended level. TipKhel's model gives Werder Bremen 20%, the draw 21% and Bayern Munich 59%, so Bayern Munich are the slight favourites, with 1-2 the single most likely score. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
