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FTMatchday 25

Villarreal vs Valencia: Prediction

📍 Estadio de la Cerámica

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

3 goals
VillarrealValencia
  1. Georges Mikautadzeyellow card23'
  2. 27'Largie Ramazanipenalty
  3. Santi Comesaña31'
  4. 38'Largie Ramazaniyellow card
  5. Santiago Mouriñoyellow card45'
  6. 45'Javi Guerrayellow card
  7. Pape Gueyepenalty45'
  8. Pape Gueyeon58'
  9. 65'Unai Núñezyellow card
  10. Ayoze Pérezon70'
  11. Alberto Moleiroon70'
  12. 70'Filip Ugrinicon
  13. 70'Unai Núñezon
  14. 78'Luis Riojaon
  15. 78'Jose Luis Gayaon
  16. Santi Comesañaon83'
  17. Nicolas Pépéon83'
  18. 88'Guido Rodríguezon
  19. 90'Umar Sadiqyellow card

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

VillarrealValencia
  • 43%Possession57%
  • 2.06Expected goals (xG)1.55
  • 12Shots8
  • 5Shots on target3
  • 5Corners4
  • 7Fouls16
  • 2Yellow cards4
  • 0Red cards0
  • 1Offsides2
  • 2Saves3
  • 362Passes493

Line-ups

Villarreal

  • 22Ayoze Pérez
  • 19Nicolas Pépé
  • 18Pape Gueye
  • 14Santi Comesaña
  • 1Luiz Júnior
  • 12Renato Veiga
  • 23Sergi Cardona
  • 20Alberto Moleiro
  • 15Santiago Mouriño
  • 9Georges Mikautadze
  • 6Pau Navarro

Valencia

  • 1Stole Dimitrievski
  • 14Jose Luis Gaya
  • 4Unai Núñez
  • 11Luis Rioja
  • 23Filip Ugrinic
  • 2Guido Rodríguez
  • 6Umar Sadiq
  • 24Eray Cömert
  • 17Largie Ramazani
  • 3José Copete
  • 8Javi Guerra

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1450 – 1467

Recent form

VillarrealLDWLW
ValenciaWWLLW
#TeamPGDPts
1Villarreal35+2366
2Valencia35-1043

Head to head

  • Valencia 1–2 Villarreal2026-10-24
  • Valencia 0–2 Villarreal2025-10-25

Match preview

Villarreal host Valencia in the La Liga on 22 February 2026. Villarreal sit 3rd on 66 points and Valencia are 10th on 43. Villarreal have won 2 of their last 5 (LDWLW), while Valencia have won 3 of 5 (WWLLW). In their last 2 meetings, Villarreal won 2, Valencia won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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