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Kick-off · Matchday 6

Villarreal vs Sabah Baku: Prediction

Villarreal
38%Home win
Sabah Baku

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.49 – 1.51
Team rating (Elo)1529 – 1531

Recent form

VillarrealWDLWL
Sabah BakuLWLWL
#TeamPGDPts
1Sabah Baku9+618

Head to head

Not enough past results yet.

Match preview

Villarreal host Sabah Baku in the UEFA Champions League on 8 December 2026. Villarreal sit 44th on 3 points and Sabah Baku are 1st on 18. Villarreal have won 2 of their last 5 (WDLWL), while Sabah Baku have won 2 of 5 (LWLWL). There is no recent head-to-head record between these sides in our data. TipKhel's model gives Villarreal 38%, the draw 24% and Sabah Baku 38%, so Villarreal are the slight favourites, with 1-1 the single most likely score. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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