FTMatchday 29

Villarreal vs Real Sociedad: Prediction

📍 Estadio de la Cerámica

Villarreal3

Real Sociedad1

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

4 goals

VillarrealReal Sociedad

Gerard Morenoassist Santi Comesaña7'
Georges Mikautadze15'
Nicolas Pépéassist Georges Mikautadze23'
38'Jon Aramburuyellow card
46'Jon Gorrotxategion
47'Luka Sučić
54'Igor Zubeldiaon
68'Jon Aramburuon
68'Brais Méndezon
Alberto Moleiroon74'
Gerard Morenoon74'
78'Goncalo Guedesyellow card
82'Mikel Oyarzabalon
Pape Gueyeon89'
Santi Comesañaon89'
Georges Mikautadzeon89'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

VillarrealReal Sociedad

35%Possession65%
3.70Expected goals (xG)1.08
21Shots11
10Shots on target4
4Corners5
10Fouls11
0Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
1Offsides6
3Saves7
371Passes682

Line-ups

Villarreal

7Gerard Moreno
24Alfonso Pedraza
19Nicolas Pépé
18Pape Gueye
14Santi Comesaña
1Luiz Júnior
12Renato Veiga
20Alberto Moleiro
15Santiago Mouriño
9Georges Mikautadze
6Pau Navarro

Real Sociedad

11Goncalo Guedes
5Igor Zubeldia
10Mikel Oyarzabal
23Brais Méndez
1Álex Remiro
17Sergio Gómez
18Carlos Soler
7Ander Barrenetxea
2Jon Aramburu
31Jon Martín
4Jon Gorrotxategi

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1450 – 1510

Recent form

VillarrealLWWWD

Real SociedadWLDLW

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Villarreal	35	+23	66
2	Real Sociedad	35	-5	39

Head to head

Real Sociedad 2–3 Villarreal2025-11-30

Match preview

Villarreal host Real Sociedad in the La Liga on 20 March 2026. Villarreal sit 3rd on 66 points and Real Sociedad are 18th on 39. Villarreal have won 3 of their last 5 (LWWWD), while Real Sociedad have won 2 of 5 (WLDLW). In their last 1 meetings, Villarreal won 1, Real Sociedad won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.