FTMatchday 1

Villarreal vs Real Oviedo: Prediction

📍 Estadio de la Cerámica

Villarreal2

Real Oviedo0

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

3 goals

VillarrealReal Oviedo

Luiz Júnioryellow card13'
14'Salomón Rondónpenalty
18'Alberto Reinayellow card
27'Alberto Reinayellow card
27'Alberto Reinared card
Etta Eyong29'
Pape Gueyeassist Nicolas Pépé36'
46'Haissem Hassanon
Gerard Morenoon47'
63'Salomón Rondónon
Pape Gueyeon70'
Juan Marcos Foython70'
77'Ilyas Chairaon
77'Luka Ilićon
Nicolas Pépéon82'
Santi Comesañaon82'
85'Rahim Alhassaneon

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

VillarrealReal Oviedo

68%Possession32%
3Expected goals (xG)1
25Shots5
10Shots on target4
10Corners1
10Fouls8
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards1
0Offsides1
4Saves8
668Passes325

Line-ups

Villarreal

7Gerard Moreno
8Juan Marcos Foyth
19Nicolas Pépé
18Pape Gueye
21Yeremi Pino
14Santi Comesaña
1Luiz Júnior
23Sergi Cardona
15Santiago Mouriño
4Rafa Marín
29Etta Eyong

Real Oviedo

23Salomón Rondón
22Nacho Vidal
12Dani Calvo
21Luka Ilić
13Aarón Escandell
10Haissem Hassan
15Oier Luengo
7Ilyas Chaira
5Alberto Reina
3Rahim Alhassane
6Kwasi Sibo

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1450 – 1427

Recent form

Villarreal–

Real Oviedo–

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Villarreal	35	+23	66
2	Real Oviedo	35	-30	28

Head to head

Real Oviedo 1–1 Villarreal2026-04-23

Match preview

Villarreal host Real Oviedo in the La Liga on 15 August 2025. Villarreal sit 3rd on 66 points and Real Oviedo are 20th on 28. In their last 1 meetings, Villarreal won 0, Real Oviedo won 0 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.