Kick-off · Sun, 7 Mar, 09:30 pm ISTMatchday 27
Villarreal vs Real Madrid: Prediction
Villarreal43%Away win
Real Madrid31% Home win26% Draw43% Away win
Tipster consensus · who picked what
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.18 – 1.43
Team rating (Elo)1468 – 1557
Recent form
VillarrealLWDLWReal MadridWWWWW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Madrid | 9 | +12 | 21 |
| 2 | Villarreal | 9 | +1 | 11 |
Head to head
- Real Madrid 1–0 Villarreal2026-10-10
- Villarreal 0–2 Real Madrid2026-01-24
- Real Madrid 3–1 Villarreal2025-10-04
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
