Villarreal vs Real Madrid: Prediction
📍 Estadio de la Cerámica
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
2 goals- Juan Marcos Foythyellow card2'
- ⇄Juan Marcos Foython24'
- 47'⚽Kylian Mbappé
- Tajon Buchananyellow card51'
- Pau Navarroyellow card57'
- 62'Franco Mastantuonoyellow card
- ⇄Tajon Buchananon70'
- ⇄Gerard Morenoon70'
- 74'⇄Franco Mastantuonoon
- ⇄Daniel Parejoon77'
- ⇄Georges Mikautadzeon77'
- 80'⇄Arda Güleron
- 90'⚽Kylian Mbappépenalty
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 42%Possession58%
- 0.58Expected goals (xG)1.58
- 8Shots14
- 1Shots on target4
- 6Corners6
- 19Fouls10
- 3Yellow cards1
- 0Red cards0
- 0Offsides0
- 2Saves1
- 384Passes551
Line-ups
Villarreal
- 10Daniel Parejo
- 7Gerard Moreno
- 8Juan Marcos Foyth
- 24Alfonso Pedraza
- 17Tajon Buchanan
- 18Pape Gueye
- 1Luiz Júnior
- 12Renato Veiga
- 20Alberto Moleiro
- 9Georges Mikautadze
- 26Pau Navarro
Real Madrid
- 1Thibaut Courtois
- 7Vinícius Júnior
- 10Kylian Mbappé
- 8Federico Valverde
- 5Jude Bellingham
- 6Eduardo Camavinga
- 15Arda Güler
- 18Álvaro Carreras
- 24Dean Huijsen
- 30Franco Mastantuono
- 17Raúl Asencio
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
VillarrealWLWWL
Real MadridLWWWW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Madrid | 35 | +40 | 82 |
| 2 | Villarreal | 35 | +23 | 66 |
Head to head
- Real Madrid 1–0 Villarreal2026-10-10
- Real Madrid 3–1 Villarreal2025-10-04
Match preview
Villarreal host Real Madrid in the La Liga on 24 January 2026. Villarreal sit 3rd on 66 points and Real Madrid are 2nd on 82. Villarreal have won 3 of their last 5 (WLWWL), while Real Madrid have won 4 of 5 (LWWWW). In their last 2 meetings, Villarreal won 0, Real Madrid won 2 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
