FTMatchday 11

Villarreal vs Rayo Vallecano: Prediction

📍 Estadio de la Cerámica

Villarreal4

Rayo Vallecano0

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

4 goals

VillarrealRayo Vallecano

Gerard Morenoassist Georges Mikautadze22'
Alberto Moleiroyellow card28'
Georges Mikautadzeon46'
Alberto Moleiroassist Alfonso Pedraza56'
Santi Comesañaassist Alberto Moleiro58'
Alberto Moleiroon63'
Gerard Morenoon64'
Ayoze Pérez65'
66'Alvaro Garciaon
66'Isi Palazónon
66'Jorge de Frutoson
Santi Comesañaon74'
76'Andrei Rațiuyellow card
Nicolas Pépéon77'
79'Pedro Díazon
79'Alemãoon

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

VillarrealRayo Vallecano

48%Possession52%
3Expected goals (xG)1
16Shots13
7Shots on target3
3Corners5
7Fouls11
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
1Offsides0
3Saves3
426Passes456

Line-ups

Villarreal

7Gerard Moreno
16Thomas Partey
8Juan Marcos Foyth
24Alfonso Pedraza
19Nicolas Pépé
14Santi Comesaña
1Luiz Júnior
12Renato Veiga
20Alberto Moleiro
15Santiago Mouriño
9Georges Mikautadze

Rayo Vallecano

18Alvaro Garcia
24Florian Lejeune
19Jorge de Frutos
2Andrei Rațiu
4Pedro Díaz
7Isi Palazón
3Pep Chavarría
6Pathé Ciss
9Alemão
13Augusto Batalla
32Nobel Mendy

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1450 – 1502

Recent form

VillarrealDLDLW

Rayo VallecanoLLWWW

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Villarreal	35	+23	66
2	Rayo Vallecano	35	-2	48

Head to head

Rayo Vallecano 2–0 Villarreal2026-05-17

Match preview

Villarreal host Rayo Vallecano in the La Liga on 1 November 2025. Villarreal sit 3rd on 66 points and Rayo Vallecano are 6th on 48. Villarreal have won 1 of their last 5 (DLDLW), while Rayo Vallecano have won 3 of 5 (LLWWW). In their last 1 meetings, Villarreal won 0, Rayo Vallecano won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.