FTMatchday 23

Villarreal vs Espanyol: Prediction

📍 Estadio de la Cerámica

Villarreal4

Espanyol1

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

2 goals

VillarrealEspanyol

6'José Salinasyellow card
Tajon Buchananyellow card16'
Georges Mikautadzeassist Tajon Buchanan35'
José Salinasown goal41'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

VillarrealEspanyol

51%Possession49%
0.47Expected goals (xG)0.26
6Shots3
1Shots on target0
2Corners3
8Fouls6
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
0Offsides0
0Saves0
199Passes195

Line-ups

Villarreal

10Daniel Parejo
19Nicolas Pépé
17Tajon Buchanan
18Pape Gueye
1Luiz Júnior
12Renato Veiga
23Sergi Cardona
20Alberto Moleiro
15Santiago Mouriño
9Georges Mikautadze
6Pau Navarro

Espanyol

6Leandro Cabrera
5Fernando Calero
13Marko Dmitrović
8Edu Expósito
10Pol Lozano
11Pere Milla
24Tyrhys Dolan
4Urko González de Zárate
23Omar El Hilali
12José Salinas
9Roberto Fernández

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1450 – 1438

Recent form

VillarrealWWLLD

EspanyolLDLLL

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Villarreal	35	+23	66
2	Espanyol	35	-13	41

Head to head

Villarreal 0–1 Espanyol2026-10-30
Espanyol 0–2 Villarreal2025-11-08

Match preview

Villarreal host Espanyol in the La Liga on 9 February 2026. Villarreal sit 3rd on 66 points and Espanyol are 14th on 41. Villarreal have won 2 of their last 5 (WWLLD), while Espanyol have won 0 of 5 (LDLLL). In their last 2 meetings, Villarreal won 1, Espanyol won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.