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FTMatchday 27

Villarreal vs Elche: Prediction

📍 Estadio de la Cerámica

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

3 goals
VillarrealElche
  1. Tajon Buchananassist Pape Gueye31'
  2. Santiago Mouriñoassist Santi Comesaña41'
  3. Alberto Moleiroyellow card43'
  4. 59'Grady Dianganaon
  5. Alberto Moleiroon65'
  6. Tajon Buchananon65'
  7. 68'Buba Sangaréon
  8. 68'Marc Aguadoon
  9. 68'Aleix Febason
  10. 74'Martim Carvalho Netoyellow card
  11. Santi Comesañaon75'
  12. Pape Gueyeon75'
  13. Pau Navarroon76'
  14. 77'Rafa Miron
  15. 83'André Silvaassist Martim Carvalho Neto
  16. 90'André Silvayellow card

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

VillarrealElche
  • 37%Possession63%
  • 1.58Expected goals (xG)1.22
  • 16Shots13
  • 7Shots on target6
  • 4Corners6
  • 11Fouls16
  • 1Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0
  • 1Offsides1
  • 6Saves5
  • 352Passes608

Line-ups

Villarreal

  • 19Nicolas Pépé
  • 17Tajon Buchanan
  • 18Pape Gueye
  • 14Santi Comesaña
  • 1Luiz Júnior
  • 23Sergi Cardona
  • 20Alberto Moleiro
  • 15Santiago Mouriño
  • 9Georges Mikautadze
  • 4Rafa Marín
  • 6Pau Navarro

Elche

  • 10Rafa Mir
  • 19Grady Diangana
  • 14Aleix Febas
  • 23Víctor Chust
  • 22David Affengruber
  • 1Matías Dituro
  • 21Léo Pétrot
  • 11Germán Valera
  • 8Marc Aguado
  • 20Álvaro Rodríguez
  • 42Buba Sangaré

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1450 – 1468

Recent form

VillarrealDWLWW
ElcheLLLDL
#TeamPGDPts
1Villarreal35+2366
2Elche35-840

Head to head

  • Villarreal 0–0 Elche2026-10-17
  • Elche 1–3 Villarreal2026-01-03

Match preview

Villarreal host Elche in the La Liga on 8 March 2026. Villarreal sit 3rd on 66 points and Elche are 15th on 40. Villarreal have won 3 of their last 5 (DWLWW), while Elche have won 0 of 5 (LLLDL). In their last 2 meetings, Villarreal won 1, Elche won 0 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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