Kick-off · Sun, 17 Jan, 09:30 pm ISTMatchday 20
Villarreal vs Deportivo Alavés: Prediction
Villarreal56%Home win
Deportivo Alavés56% Home win23% Draw21% Away win
Tipster consensus · who picked what
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-0
Expected goals (model)1.75 – 0.97
Team rating (Elo)1468 – 1469
Recent form
VillarrealLWDLWDeportivo AlavésLDLLD| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Villarreal | 9 | +1 | 11 |
| 2 | Deportivo Alavés | 9 | 0 | 9 |
Head to head
- Deportivo Alavés 1–0 Villarreal2026-08-28
- Deportivo Alavés 1–1 Villarreal2026-03-13
- Villarreal 3–1 Deportivo Alavés2026-01-10
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
