FTMatchday 19

Villarreal vs Deportivo Alavés: Prediction

📍 Estadio de la Cerámica

Villarreal3

Deportivo Alavés1

Not enough past results yet.

Match stats

VillarrealDeportivo Alavés

44%Possession56%
1.48Expected goals (xG)0.79
11Shots16
4Shots on target5
1Corners6
10Fouls14
0Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
0Offsides0
4Saves1
442Passes543

Line-ups

Villarreal

22Ayoze Pérez
10Daniel Parejo
8Juan Marcos Foyth
24Alfonso Pedraza
17Tajon Buchanan
14Santi Comesaña
1Luiz Júnior
12Renato Veiga
20Alberto Moleiro
15Santiago Mouriño
9Georges Mikautadze

Deportivo Alavés

11Toni Martínez
18Jon Guridi
10Carles Aleñá
1Antonio Sivera
17Jonathan Otto
8Antonio Blanco
5Jon Pacheco
14Nahuel Tenaglia
19Pablo Ibáñez
7Carlos Vicente
24Víctor Parada

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1450 – 1462

Recent form

VillarrealLWWLW

Deportivo AlavésLWLLD

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Villarreal	35	+23	66
2	Deportivo Alavés	35	-8	43

Head to head

Deportivo Alavés 1–0 Villarreal2026-08-28
Deportivo Alavés 1–1 Villarreal2026-03-13

Match preview

Villarreal host Deportivo Alavés in the La Liga on 10 January 2026. Villarreal sit 3rd on 66 points and Deportivo Alavés are 9th on 43. Villarreal have won 3 of their last 5 (LWWLW), while Deportivo Alavés have won 1 of 5 (LWLLD). In their last 2 meetings, Villarreal won 0, Deportivo Alavés won 1 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.