Villarreal vs Barcelona: Prediction
📍 Estadio de la Cerámica
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
2 goals- 12'⚽Raphinhapenalty
- Renato Veigared card39'
- 58'Frenkie de Jongyellow card
- 62'⇄Ferran Torreson
- 62'⇄Fermínon
- 63'⚽Lamine Yamalassist Frenkie de Jong
- ⇄Ayoze Pérezon65'
- 66'⇄Eric Garcíaon
- Tajon Buchananyellow card73'
- ⇄Nicolas Pépéon75'
- ⇄Daniel Parejoon75'
- 79'⇄Jules Koundéon
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 21%Possession79%
- 1.66Expected goals (xG)2.72
- 14Shots19
- 5Shots on target5
- 5Corners10
- 10Fouls8
- 1Yellow cards1
- 1Red cards0
- 6Offsides1
- 2Saves5
- 197Passes798
Line-ups
Villarreal
- 22Ayoze Pérez
- 10Daniel Parejo
- 19Nicolas Pépé
- 17Tajon Buchanan
- 14Santi Comesaña
- 1Luiz Júnior
- 12Renato Veiga
- 23Sergi Cardona
- 20Alberto Moleiro
- 4Rafa Marín
- 26Pau Navarro
Barcelona
- 11Raphinha
- 7Ferran Torres
- 23Jules Koundé
- 21Frenkie de Jong
- 24Eric García
- 3Alejandro Balde
- 13Joan García
- 10Lamine Yamal
- 18Gerard Martín
- 16Fermín
- 5Pau Cubarsí
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 35 | +51 | 85 | |
| 2 | 35 | +23 | 66 |
Head to head
Not enough past results yet.
Match preview
Villarreal host Barcelona in the La Liga on 21 December 2025. Villarreal sit 3rd on 66 points and Barcelona are 1st on 85. Villarreal have won 3 of their last 5 (LWLWW), while Barcelona have won 4 of 5 (LWWWW). There is no recent head-to-head record between these sides in our data. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

