Kick-off · Wed, 21 Apr, 08:30 pm ISTMatchday 33
Villarreal vs Atlético Madrid: Prediction
Villarreal37%Home win
Atlético Madrid37% Home win26% Draw37% Away win
Tipster consensus · who picked what
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.30 – 1.30
Team rating (Elo)1468 – 1517
Recent form
VillarrealWDLWLAtlético MadridWWWDW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atlético Madrid | 9 | +10 | 22 |
| 2 | Villarreal | 10 | 0 | 11 |
Head to head
- Atlético Madrid 2–2 Villarreal2026-08-23
- Villarreal 5–1 Atlético Madrid2026-05-24
- Atlético Madrid 2–0 Villarreal2025-09-13
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
