Villarreal vs Atlético Madrid: Prediction
📍 Estadio de la Cerámica
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
6 goals- 27'Giuliano Simeoneyellow card
- ⚽Daniel Parejopenalty30'
- ⚽Ayoze Pérez34'
- ⚽Georges Mikautadzeassist Ayoze Pérez40'
- 43'⚽Marc Pubillassist Antoine Griezmann
- ⚽Pape Gueyeassist Nicolas Pépé45'
- 46'⇄Giuliano Simeoneon
- 46'⇄Marc Pubillon
- 46'⇄Dávid Hanckoon
- ⚽Ayoze Pérezassist Nicolas Pépé54'
- 61'⇄Ademola Lookmanon
- 61'⇄Álex Baenaon
- ⇄Daniel Parejoon66'
- ⇄Alfonso Pedrazaon67'
- ⇄Pape Gueyeon75'
- ⇄Ayoze Pérezon75'
- ⇄Georges Mikautadzeon89'
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 48%Possession52%
- 2.45Expected goals (xG)1.16
- 14Shots9
- 8Shots on target4
- 5Corners9
- 3Fouls12
- 0Yellow cards1
- 0Red cards0
- 0Offsides1
- 3Saves3
- 501Passes532
Line-ups
Villarreal
- 22Ayoze Pérez
- 10Daniel Parejo
- 24Alfonso Pedraza
- 19Nicolas Pépé
- 18Pape Gueye
- 25Arnau Tenas
- 20Alberto Moleiro
- 15Santiago Mouriño
- 9Georges Mikautadze
- 4Rafa Marín
- 6Pau Navarro
Atlético Madrid
- 14Marcos Llorente
- 6Koke
- 7Antoine Griezmann
- 22Ademola Lookman
- 15Clément Lenglet
- 17Dávid Hancko
- 1Juan Musso
- 10Álex Baena
- 18Marc Pubill
- 21Obed Vargas
- 20Giuliano Simeone
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 35 | +23 | 66 | |
| 2 | 35 | +16 | 62 |
Head to head
- Atlético Madrid 2–2 Villarreal2026-08-23
- Atlético Madrid 2–0 Villarreal2025-09-13
Match preview
Villarreal host Atlético Madrid in the La Liga on 24 May 2026. Villarreal sit 3rd on 66 points and Atlético Madrid are 4th on 62. Villarreal have won 2 of their last 5 (WWDLL), while Atlético Madrid have won 4 of 5 (WWLWW). In their last 2 meetings, Villarreal won 0, Atlético Madrid won 1 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

