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FTMatchday 38

Villarreal vs Atlético Madrid: Prediction

📍 Estadio de la Cerámica

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

6 goals
VillarrealAtlético Madrid
  1. 27'Giuliano Simeoneyellow card
  2. Daniel Parejopenalty30'
  3. Ayoze Pérez34'
  4. Georges Mikautadzeassist Ayoze Pérez40'
  5. 43'Marc Pubillassist Antoine Griezmann
  6. Pape Gueyeassist Nicolas Pépé45'
  7. 46'Giuliano Simeoneon
  8. 46'Marc Pubillon
  9. 46'Dávid Hanckoon
  10. Ayoze Pérezassist Nicolas Pépé54'
  11. 61'Ademola Lookmanon
  12. 61'Álex Baenaon
  13. Daniel Parejoon66'
  14. Alfonso Pedrazaon67'
  15. Pape Gueyeon75'
  16. Ayoze Pérezon75'
  17. Georges Mikautadzeon89'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

VillarrealAtlético Madrid
  • 48%Possession52%
  • 2.45Expected goals (xG)1.16
  • 14Shots9
  • 8Shots on target4
  • 5Corners9
  • 3Fouls12
  • 0Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards0
  • 0Offsides1
  • 3Saves3
  • 501Passes532

Line-ups

Villarreal

  • 22Ayoze Pérez
  • 10Daniel Parejo
  • 24Alfonso Pedraza
  • 19Nicolas Pépé
  • 18Pape Gueye
  • 25Arnau Tenas
  • 20Alberto Moleiro
  • 15Santiago Mouriño
  • 9Georges Mikautadze
  • 4Rafa Marín
  • 6Pau Navarro

Atlético Madrid

  • 14Marcos Llorente
  • 6Koke
  • 7Antoine Griezmann
  • 22Ademola Lookman
  • 15Clément Lenglet
  • 17Dávid Hancko
  • 1Juan Musso
  • 10Álex Baena
  • 18Marc Pubill
  • 21Obed Vargas
  • 20Giuliano Simeone

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1450 – 1501

Recent form

VillarrealWWDLL
Atlético MadridWWLWW
#TeamPGDPts
1Villarreal35+2366
2Atlético Madrid35+1662

Head to head

  • Atlético Madrid 2–2 Villarreal2026-08-23
  • Atlético Madrid 2–0 Villarreal2025-09-13

Match preview

Villarreal host Atlético Madrid in the La Liga on 24 May 2026. Villarreal sit 3rd on 66 points and Atlético Madrid are 4th on 62. Villarreal have won 2 of their last 5 (WWDLL), while Atlético Madrid have won 4 of 5 (WWLWW). In their last 2 meetings, Villarreal won 0, Atlético Madrid won 1 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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